Showing posts with label Fidelity. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fidelity. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 8, 2024

Could this break the log/log power law for Bitcoin?

The log/log power law governing Bitcoin appears robust. However, could there be a plausible and logical scenario in which this power law is disrupted or abruptly halted? 

Drawing parallels with historical events, such as Executive Order 6102 under the Franklin D. Roosevelt administration, wherein all gold bullion and coins were seized, one might speculate on the potential for a similar intervention by the US Government or Federal Reserve in the realm of Bitcoin. It wouldn't be unfathomable for them to accumulate over 51%—equivalent to 11 million—of all Bitcoins, as well as a majority share in Bitcoin mining capacity. In my estimation, such a scenario is not improbable. 

For instance, if financial giants like BlackRock and Fidelity were compelled to relinquish their Bitcoin holdings and associated assets, or if companies like Riot and Marathon were coerced into nationalizing their Bitcoin mining operations, this could significantly alter the landscape of Bitcoin ownership and control.

Here are some more resources:

Tuesday, February 28, 2023

Will the 2024 Bitcoin Halving be a 'disappointment'?

I wouldn't be surprised if the 2024 Bitcoin halving becomes a massive 'disappointment' for those people with unrealistic high expectations.

Bitcoins will then flow towards large institutional investors who have lower time preferences. This will be from individual/retail investors and traders who will either fully or partially capitulate, by selling their Bitcoins on the open market. Fidelity, BlackRock, et al will scoop up the fire sale Bitcoins and add to their ever growing inventory.

The Bitcoin halving in 2028 and 2032 will be the halvings to watch. FOMO and FOLO (Fear Of Losing Out) will again be the watch words.

Remember, Bitcoin tends to do the opposite of what you expect.

I guess there is a 50% chance I'm either right or wrong...

Any date from 2009 to 2051 Bitcoin Price (Log/Log) Power Law Growth Corridor

Bitcoin Price Growth Corridor Log/Log Power Law Inspired by 1) Giovanni's BTC_POWER_LAW @Giovann3508411 2) Harold Burger @hcburger1 Date...