Will the USA Establish a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve by 2026? Analysing the Prospects

The idea of governments incorporating cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin into their fiscal strategies is becoming less far-fetched. However, the notion that the United States might announce a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve (BSR) by 2026 remains highly speculative and is mired in economic, political, and regulatory uncertainties. Here’s a deeper dive into the feasibility of such a development.

Understanding the Concept of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve

A Bitcoin Strategic Reserve would mean that the federal government, much like with the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, holds a stockpile of Bitcoin as part of its national treasury assets. This could serve multiple purposes: hedging against financial crises, bolstering the dollar's position by diversifying reserves, or even as a strategic asset in trade negotiations. But the path to such an initiative is fraught with hurdles.

Economic and Regulatory Challenges

The volatile nature of Bitcoin poses a significant risk for any government considering its reserve status. Bitcoin’s price fluctuations are notorious, and its valuation can swing wildly based on market sentiment, regulatory news, and technological developments. For a conservative entity like a national government, these characteristics make Bitcoin a risky reserve asset.

Moreover, regulatory frameworks in the USA are still catching up with the fast-paced evolution of cryptocurrencies. Issues surrounding tax implications, anti-money laundering (AML) standards, and consumer protection are still being debated. Establishing a reserve would require robust legal frameworks that are currently lacking.

Political Landscape

The political environment regarding cryptocurrencies in the USA is complex and varied. While some lawmakers advocate for progressive cryptocurrency regulations and promote innovation in blockchain technologies, others are staunchly opposed, citing financial risks and potential misuse for illicit activities. This division makes it difficult to achieve the consensus needed to create a strategic reserve of Bitcoin.

Public Perception and Institutional Readiness

Public trust in Bitcoin and broader cryptocurrency technologies is mixed. While there is significant interest and investment from the private sector, the general population remains skeptical about the stability and utility of cryptocurrencies. Without broad public support, a move as bold as establishing a Bitcoin reserve could be politically unviable.

Institutions like the Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department would also need to significantly adapt their operations to manage a Bitcoin reserve. This includes developing new tools for risk assessment, market intervention, and asset management specific to cryptocurrencies.

Looking Ahead to 2026 and Beyond

Predicting a strategic move such as establishing a Bitcoin reserve by 2026 is challenging. It would require a dramatic shift in regulatory posture, economic strategy, and political will, all within a relatively short timeframe. Given the current landscape, it appears unlikely that the United States will announce a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve by 2026. However, as with all things crypto, the unexpected can always happen.

As stakeholders in the financial world continue to watch the evolution of Bitcoin’s role in global economics, the discussion about its potential integration into national reserves remains a topic of hot debate and speculation. Whether or not the USA takes a monumental step towards such an integration by 2026 remains to be seen, but what is certain is that the conversation isn’t going away anytime soon.

How Bitcoin and Satoshi Nakamoto Helped Donald Trump Become the 47th President

On January 20th, 2025, Donald J. Trump was sworn in as the 47th President of the United States. His return to the Oval Office has sparked discussions worldwide, but one perspective stands out: the pivotal role Bitcoin and cryptocurrency played in enabling his second presidency. Without Satoshi Nakamoto's revolutionary invention, this political outcome, and its broader implications for the world, might never have come to pass.

The Power of Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin, the first decentralized digital currency, was introduced in 2009 by the pseudonymous figure Satoshi Nakamoto. Initially dismissed by many as an experimental oddity, Bitcoin became the foundation for a new global financial system. It empowered individuals to transact and store value without relying on traditional banks or governments, ushering in a new era of decentralized finance (DeFi).

Over the years, Bitcoin’s influence has expanded beyond finance. It became a symbol of freedom from central authority, appealing to millions who sought transparency, privacy, and self-sovereignty. By the 2020s, its influence permeated politics, as the decentralized ethos of cryptocurrency became a rallying cry for many.

Bitcoin’s Role in Trump’s 2024 Campaign

Donald Trump’s return to the presidency owes much to the grassroots support powered by cryptocurrency. Campaign financing in the modern era increasingly relies on small, direct contributions from individuals. Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin allowed Trump's supporters to contribute to his campaign without traditional banking barriers, transcending geographical boundaries and political restrictions.

Moreover, the decentralized nature of Bitcoin helped counteract censorship and traditional financial roadblocks. During his 2024 campaign, there were significant efforts to deplatform and financially stifle his movement. Cryptocurrency provided an alternative, unshackled medium for fundraising and communication, enabling a resilient and resourceful campaign infrastructure.

Satoshi Nakamoto’s Unlikely Role in Global Politics

It’s fascinating to consider the chain of events set in motion by Satoshi Nakamoto’s invention. Without Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency revolution might never have occurred. Without the decentralization and financial freedom Bitcoin enabled, Trump's political movement may have been unable to thrive in the face of institutional challenges.

Bitcoin not only financed the campaign but symbolized a deeper message: a rejection of centralized control. Trump's campaign slogan, “Make America Great Again,” resonated with the crypto community’s ethos of empowering individuals over institutions. For many, Bitcoin became a metaphor for self-determination, a fitting parallel to Trump's own brand of populist politics.

Bitcoin, Trump, and the World Stage

Donald Trump's second presidency, made possible in part by Bitcoin, presents a unique opportunity for cryptocurrency on the global stage. Trump has publicly expressed mixed views on Bitcoin in the past, but his second term could see a dramatic policy shift. Bitcoin and blockchain technology might now find a champion in the White House, shaping U.S. economic and technological policy for decades to come.

The geopolitical implications are enormous. A pro-Bitcoin administration could position the U.S. as a leader in cryptocurrency adoption and innovation, further decentralizing power and reshaping the global financial order. Trump’s presidency, enabled by Bitcoin, may also accelerate discussions about digital currencies' role in fostering individual freedoms and countering authoritarian control worldwide.

The Bigger Picture: Bitcoin Saved the World

The story doesn’t end with Trump. Bitcoin’s rise signifies something much larger: the dawn of a decentralized world. By removing the need for intermediaries, Bitcoin has empowered billions, fostering financial inclusion and innovation.

Satoshi Nakamoto’s creation didn’t just change finance, it reshaped society’s understanding of power, freedom, and trust. Whether they intended it or not, Satoshi Nakamoto’s invention has influenced everything from technology to politics, culminating in Donald Trump’s second presidency.

Conclusion

Satoshi Nakamoto’s invention of Bitcoin set off a chain reaction that, years later, helped Donald Trump become the 47th President of the United States. This event underscores the profound and unexpected ways Bitcoin and cryptocurrency are reshaping our world.

In the years to come, Trump’s presidency and its relationship with Bitcoin may redefine the global order. And while history will judge Trump’s leadership, one thing is clear: Satoshi Nakamoto’s legacy extends far beyond technology, it is now intertwined with the fate of nations.

Bitcoin saved the world. Satoshi Nakamoto saved the world. And now, Donald Trump has a chance to do the same.

Happy New Year for 2025 and beyond

As we bid farewell to 2024 and welcome the dawn of 2025, I wish everyone health, happiness, and success in the year ahead. 

Stay positive, embrace gratitude, and cherish all that you have. 

How will these factors unfold in 2025 and beyond? 

• The return of Donald Trump to the presidency.

• Shifting geopolitics involving Russia, Ukraine, Iran, China, North Korea, Yemen, the Houthis, and Israel, each could shape the global landscape.

• Economic concerns like inflation, interest rates, and the rise of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve also loom large. 

• What will become of Bitcoin’s price and the Bitcoin Power Law? 

• How will artificial intelligence continue to redefine our world? 

The future holds many questions, and the answers will shape the path ahead.

Happy New Year,

BBCD SATOSHI

Any date from 2009 to 2051 Bitcoin Price (Log/Log) Power Law Growth Corridor

Use this table to find the price of Bitcoin on any given date up to the year 2051

This table shows the low, medium or high price based on the Bitcoin Power Law (Log/Log) Power Law Growth Corridor.

https://bbcdsatoshi.blogspot.com/p/bitcoin-power-law-any-dateprice.html

Over $102,815 BTC USD Tradingview...

 

The Bitcoin Power Law websites (curves, graphs, statistics)

The Bitcoin Power Law...

1. https://bitcoin.powerlaw.live/
2. https://charts.bitbo.io/long-term-power-law/
3. https://charts.bitbo.io/power-law-oscillator/
4. https://charts.bitbo.io/4y-ma-power-law/
5. https://www.temonet.com/dashboard/
6. https://thingspeak.mathworks.com/apps/matlab_visualizations/552665?height=auto&width=auto
7. https://thingspeak.mathworks.com/apps/matlab_visualizations/547906?height=auto&width=auto

Sources:

• https://x.com/Giovann35084111
• https://x.com/BitboBTC
• https://x.com/math_sci_tech

Over $97,000 BTC USD Tradingview...

Over $90,000 BTC USD Tradingview...

 

Bitcoin websites to focus on graphs, statistics and the power law

Bitcoin websites to focus on...

Graphs, statistics and the power law...

1. https://giovannisantostasi.medium.com/the-bitcoin-power-law-theory-962dfaf99ee9
2. https://medium.com/quantodian-publications/bitcoins-natural-long-term-power-law-corridor-of-growth-649d0e9b3c94
3. https://www.temonet.com/dashboard/
4. https://capriole.com/Charts/
5. https://bitcoin.powerlaw.live/
6. https://bitcoin-powerlaw.ddns.net/
7. https://bitposeidon.com/
8. https://thingspeak.mathworks.com/apps/matlab_visualizations/552665?height=auto&width=auto
9. https://thingspeak.mathworks.com/apps/matlab_visualizations/547906?height=auto&width=auto
10. https://www.decentrader.com/
11. https://www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com/charts/puell-multiple/

$89,000 BTC USD Tradingview...

 

Jesse Powell (Kraken/Payward Inc) and Donald Trump

That was a good investment of $1,000,000 USD...

Source: https://x.com/jespow

$84,760 BTC USD Tradingview...

 

$79,700 BTC USD Tradingview...

 

Bitcoin’s Big Bet: How Trump’s Return Could Reshape Finance by 2035

Donald Trump returns to office in January 2025, his policies are expected to significantly impact Bitcoin, the broader cryptocurrency industry, and traditional finance. Here’s how the landscape may evolve over the next decade and what it could look like by 2035.

Potential Impact on Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency

Trump's pro-crypto stance could accelerate Bitcoin adoption. He has previously suggested replacing the SEC's leadership, which many believe could foster a more favorable environment for Bitcoin ETFs and other crypto products. If these ETFs receive approval, it would likely drive increased institutional investment, which could lead to Bitcoin reaching all-time highs as early as 2025. By 2035, Bitcoin’s market position might solidify, becoming an integral asset class alongside traditional financial instruments​

Moreover, Trump's intention to create a crypto advisory council and reduce regulatory hurdles could spur development across the crypto sector, potentially attracting global investments. This regulatory shift may benefit not only Bitcoin but also the altcoin market and decentralized finance (DeFi) projects, which could see fewer restrictions and greater innovation​

Challenges and Concerns

While Trump's policies might catalyze growth, they could also introduce volatility. His proposed tariffs and other protectionist policies may heighten inflation, which could impact crypto in unpredictable ways. Higher inflation might benefit Bitcoin initially due to its appeal as a hedge, yet sustained inflation could increase interest rates, dampening speculative investments in crypto​

Another potential downside lies in Trump’s inclination to work with large financial players like Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan. If Trump's administration prioritizes Wall Street over decentralization, smaller crypto startups might struggle, as major banks could dominate crypto services. This alignment could shift the ecosystem toward centralization, contrary to Bitcoin’s decentralized ethos​

Impact on Traditional Finance and the Broader Economy

By 2035, traditional finance may increasingly integrate crypto if a Trump administration normalizes cryptocurrency usage. Major banks could expand crypto offerings and investment products, allowing customers to hold and transact digital assets more freely. However, this could blur the lines between centralized finance (CeFi) and decentralized finance, potentially leading to regulatory challenges and market power consolidation among large financial institutions​

The 2035 Financial Landscape

If these trends continue, by 2035, the financial world could look like a hybrid system where traditional finance and decentralized assets coexist. Bitcoin may serve as a "digital gold" for institutional portfolios, while a limited number of cryptocurrencies find mainstream adoption. Regulatory clarity could attract more retail and institutional investors, but potential over-regulation might stifle innovation and limit smaller players’ market share.

In summary, Trump’s presidency could bring both opportunities and risks to the crypto industry. A supportive regulatory environment could boost adoption and market growth, while potential inflation and favoritism toward large institutions could curb the decentralized, open-access nature of cryptocurrency.

USA Elections 2024 and Bonfire Night in the UK: A Night of Democracy, History, and Anticipation For Bitcoin

November 5, 2024, is shaping up to be a night of high energy and deep significance on both sides of the Atlantic. In the United States, millions of Americans are heading to the polls to vote in a critical presidential election. At the same time, in the United Kingdom, people are gathering to celebrate Bonfire Night, or Guy Fawkes Night, with fireworks and bonfires. While these events are distinct in purpose and tradition, both involve themes of civic engagement, historical reflection, and the power of the people.

USA Elections 2024: The Stakes Are Higher Than Ever

In the United States, the 2024 election has captured global attention with a rematch that’s as polarizing as it is consequential. Voters are choosing between Donald Trump, who has mounted an unprecedented return campaign, and Vice President Kamala Harris, who represents continuity from the current administration. This election is not just a contest between two individuals; it reflects broader ideological divides within the country, from economic policies to healthcare reform to the United States' role on the world stage.

Donald Trump’s campaign has emphasized a return to his brand of economic populism, and border security, and promises to “drain the swamp” in Washington. His supporters view him as a champion of the working class and a force against establishment politics. Trump’s campaign has also centred on deregulatory policies, pledging to free businesses from perceived governmental constraints to foster economic growth. He’s taken a hard line on immigration, pushing for stricter policies and promising to restore "law and order."

Kamala Harris, on the other hand, has focused on continuing the policies she supported as Vice President, such as affordable healthcare, climate action, and progressive social policies. Her campaign has emphasized unity, justice, and inclusivity, appealing to a broad coalition of young voters, minorities, and moderate Democrats. Harris has also made history as the first woman of colour to serve as Vice President, and if she wins, she would become the first female President in U.S. history—a milestone with enormous symbolic and practical impact.

The outcome of this election will shape the United States for years to come, impacting both domestic policy and international relations. The world will be watching as swing states tally their votes, and communities across the U.S. hold their breath in anticipation of the results.

Bitcoin and the Future of U.S. Financial Policy

One of the unique issues in this election has been the role of cryptocurrency, particularly Bitcoin, in the American economy. Digital currencies have gained popularity as both an investment asset and a potential alternative to traditional banking systems. Each candidate has a different stance on how the U.S. should engage with Bitcoin and other digital currencies, which could impact the future of financial policy and the economy at large.

Donald Trump has been vocal in his scepticism of Bitcoin and cryptocurrency in general, often warning of its potential risks and volatility. He has argued that cryptocurrency could undermine the U.S. dollar and facilitate illegal activities. A second Trump administration might push for stricter regulations on digital currencies to protect traditional banking and national economic stability. This could lead to policies that discourage or even restrict Bitcoin use, potentially limiting the growth of cryptocurrency markets within the U.S.

Kamala Harris, however, has taken a more open-minded approach to digital assets, considering cryptocurrency as an area ripe for innovation. While Harris has not fully endorsed Bitcoin as an alternative currency, she has signalled a willingness to work with blockchain experts and has proposed regulations that balance innovation with consumer protection. If Harris were to win, it’s possible that the U.S. would adopt a more supportive stance on cryptocurrency, integrating it more fully into the economy and even exploring a government-backed digital dollar, as some other countries have done.

Bonfire Night in the UK: A Celebration of Democracy and Tradition

While Americans are casting their votes, British people are marking Bonfire Night, a beloved tradition with its own unique historical significance. Also known as Guy Fawkes Night, Bonfire Night commemorates the failed Gunpowder Plot of 1605, when Guy Fawkes and his co-conspirators attempted to blow up the Houses of Parliament and assassinate King James I. The plot was foiled, and the king survived, leading to annual celebrations of the monarchy's preservation and, over time, a broader reflection on British governance and unity.

Across the UK, communities come together to celebrate with firework displays, bonfires, and the burning of effigies of Guy Fawkes. Families gather in parks and back gardens to enjoy seasonal treats and watch the skies light up with bright, colourful displays. For many, Bonfire Night is a reminder of the long-standing democratic traditions in Britain and the importance of protecting freedom from the threat of violence and tyranny.

Bridging Two Worlds on November 5th

Although separated by geography and purpose, the events in the United States and the United Kingdom on November 5th are bonded by themes of history, tradition, and civic duty. For Americans, this election represents a chance to set a new direction or reaffirm a previous path, with the future of the economy, the climate, healthcare, and more hanging in the balance. For Britons, Bonfire Night is an opportunity to celebrate their rich history and the triumph of democratic ideals, while remembering that political engagement is as crucial today as it was in 1605.

Both the election and Bonfire Night evoke a shared spirit of community and collective action. While Americans await the final vote tallies, the skies over the UK will be filled with fireworks—a reminder that democracy, in all its forms, remains a powerful force for unity and progress. This November 5th, as votes are counted and bonfires are lit, the world is reminded of the enduring importance of people-powered change, from the streets of Washington to the parks of London.

The Bitcoin Network: A Five-Star Financial Institution That Never Sleeps

Introduction

In the evolving landscape of global finance, the Bitcoin network has emerged as a revolutionary system challenging traditional banking norms. Often likened to a five or even six-star rated bank, Bitcoin offers unparalleled reliability, accessibility, and trustworthiness. Unlike conventional banks, which are bound by geographical, temporal, and institutional limitations, the Bitcoin network operates incessantly, ensuring seamless and secure transactions worldwide. This essay delves into the attributes that position Bitcoin as a superior financial system, outlining five key reasons supported by examples and comparing it to traditional banking structures.

Five Reasons Why the Bitcoin Network Mirrors a Five-Star Bank

1. Decentralization Ensures Unparalleled Reliability
   
   - Explanation: The Bitcoin network operates on a decentralized ledger known as the blockchain, which is maintained by a distributed network of computers (nodes) worldwide. This structure eliminates a central point of failure, making the system remarkably resilient against outages and attacks.
   
   - Example: In contrast to traditional banks that may suffer service disruptions due to technical failures or centralized attacks, Bitcoin has maintained near-continuous operation since its inception in 2009. Even during periods of intense network activity or attempted cyber-attacks, the decentralized nature of Bitcoin ensures that transactions continue to be processed without significant delays or failures.

2. 24/7 Accessibility Facilitates Continuous Financial Operations
   
   - Explanation: Bitcoin transactions can be conducted at any time, irrespective of weekends, holidays, or time zones. This constant availability empowers users to manage their finances whenever needed, without waiting for bank operating hours.
   
   - Example: Consider an international freelancer needing to receive payment from a client in another country. Through traditional banks, this transfer might be delayed due to weekend closures or processing times, potentially taking several days. With Bitcoin, the payment can be sent and confirmed within minutes, regardless of the day or time, ensuring prompt access to funds.

3. Robust Security Through Advanced Cryptography
   
   - Explanation: Bitcoin employs sophisticated cryptographic techniques to secure transactions and control the creation of new units. Each transaction is verified by network nodes and recorded on the blockchain, making it extremely difficult to alter or counterfeit.
   
   - Example: Instances of fraud and unauthorized transactions are prevalent concerns in traditional banking systems. However, Bitcoin's security measures have proven highly effective; for example, the immutable nature of blockchain records has prevented double-spending and ensured transactional integrity, fostering trust among users.

4. Transparency Enhances Trust and Accountability
   
   - Explanation: All Bitcoin transactions are publicly recorded on the blockchain, allowing anyone to verify and audit transactions. This transparency reduces the potential for fraudulent activities and enhances accountability within the network.
   
   - Example: In traditional banking, opaque processes can obscure illicit activities such as money laundering. In contrast, Bitcoin's transparent ledger has been instrumental in tracing and investigating suspicious transactions, as evidenced by law enforcement agencies leveraging blockchain analysis tools to track and apprehend cybercriminals involved in illegal activities.

5. Borderless and Inclusive Financial Ecosystem
   
   - Explanation: Bitcoin transcends geographical boundaries, enabling seamless and cost-effective international transactions without the need for intermediaries or currency conversions. This inclusivity opens financial services to unbanked and underbanked populations worldwide.
   
   - Example: Migrant workers often face high fees and long wait times when sending remittances through traditional channels. Bitcoin offers a viable alternative, allowing them to transfer funds quickly and cheaply across borders. For instance, a worker in the United States can send Bitcoin to family in Nigeria almost instantly, avoiding hefty remittance fees and exchange rate losses.

Conclusion

The Bitcoin network embodies the qualities of a five-star financial institution through its decentralized structure, continuous availability, robust security, transparent operations, and inclusive nature. It addresses many of the inefficiencies and limitations inherent in traditional banking systems, offering a modern, efficient, and trustworthy alternative for conducting financial transactions. As the world becomes increasingly interconnected and digitalized, Bitcoin stands out as a resilient and adaptable financial system poised to meet the demands of contemporary society. While challenges and criticisms persist, the fundamental attributes of Bitcoin continue to drive its adoption and integration into the global financial ecosystem, underscoring its potential to redefine our understanding and engagement with money and banking.

[Note: The above was written with input by ChatGPT]

The Bitcoin Power Law: A few simple graphs and tables

In 10 years Bitcoin is expected to increase by at least 600%. This is the “touching cloth” support line according to the BTC PowerLaw:

$50,000 = $300,000
$100,000 = $600,000
$250,000 = $1.4 Million
$500,000 = $3 Million
$1 Million = $6 Million

If you hold (hodl) your Bitcoin for 10 years, until 2033 then 1 Bitcoin will be no lower than $300,000 USD. This is according to the Bitcoin PowerLaw.

Called the “touching cloth” line… … Here is a 10-year graph (2024–2033) showing the lowest/support line for the Bitcoin price using the PowerLaw.

Called the “touching cloth” line

Here is a table for the next 10 years (2024–2033) showing the lowest/support line for the Bitcoin price using the PowerLaw. This is a conservative way of looking at things.

4-Year graph and table of the Log/Log Bitcoin Power Law. Shows “lowest/support” Bitcoin Price for halving years 2012–2048. This is all you need.

Inspired by the work of: @Giovann35084111 | @hcburger1 | @dotkrueger | @apsk32 | @math_sci_tech | + others

Simple chart 2020 - 2048 (4-Year graph) of the Bitcoin Price Log/Log Bitcoin Power Law

Simple chart 2020 - 2048 (4-Year graph) of the Bitcoin Price Log/Log Bitcoin Power Law 

(All credit goes to the outstanding @Giovann35084111 and @hcburger1) 

Simple chart 2020 - 2048 (4-Year graph) of the Bitcoin Price Log/Log Bitcoin Power Law 

Simple 4-Year table of the Bitcoin Price (2012 - 2048) Log/Log Bitcoin Power Law

Simple 4-Year table of the Bitcoin Price (2012 - 2048) Log/Log Bitcoin Power Law 

(All credit goes to @Giovann35084111 and @hcburger1) 

Simple 4-Year table of the Bitcoin Price (2012 - 2048) Log/Log Bitcoin Power Law 

7 / 8 months into 2024 (Halving, Bitcoin ETF, FTX Sam Bankman-Fried, and Craig Wright is not Satoshi Nakamoto, Changpeng Zhao (CZ), Roger Ver (Bitcoin Jesus), Ethereum ETF, Mt. Gox repayments, Donald Trump speaks at Bitcoin Conference 2024 Strategic Reserve)

7 / 8 months into 2024 and already these major events have happened:

1. The Bitcoin Halving (reducing supply from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC)

2. The Bitcoin ETF approval in the USA (by the SEC)

3. Sam Bankman-Fried imprisonment (FTX)

4. Craig Wright is not Satoshi Nakamoto (UK judge)

5. Changpeng Zhao (CZ) from Binance sentenced to 4 months in prison (USA)

6. Roger Ver (Bitcoin Jesus) charged with mail fraud and tax evasion, arrested in Spain

7. Ethereum ETF approval in the USA (by the SEC)

8. Mt. Gox begins paying creditors after a decade 

9. Donald Trump speaks at Bitcoin Conference 2024 Nashville announces Bitcoin Strategic Reserve

Ready for the next 4 / 5 months of 2024?...