2024 will be a massive year for bitcoin, economics, elections, geopolitics and war.
I predict calm will return in 2028
The period around 2024 is predicted to be a time of significant global change and upheaval, potentially marking the midst of the Crisis phase in their historical cycle model. This phase is characterized by societal upheaval and the reconstruction of social and political structures.
Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Impact: Within this framework, the rise of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin is seen as a reflection of a broader societal shift away from traditional financial systems. The integration of blockchain technology in various sectors, reaching a pivotal stage by 2024, aligns with the theme of the Crisis phase, which involves overthrowing the old order and experimenting with new economic structures. The growth and volatility in the cryptocurrency sector could be indicative of significant economic shifts.
Global Economic Trends: The economic turbulence predicted for 2024 is in line with the Fourth Turning's themes of crisis and transformation. This period might see a deeper restructuring of global economic systems and ideologies, leading to innovative economic models and policies. This could include potential recovery from current economic slowdowns, adjustments to inflation rates, and the impacts of emerging technologies and policies, as countries adapt to post-pandemic realities and new trade dynamics.
Elections and Political Changes: Political shifts anticipated in 2024, including major elections in influential countries, can be viewed through the lens of the Fourth Turning as a redefinition of societal values and governance structures. These shifts could lead to significant changes in global diplomacy, trade policies, and internal governance, marking the rise of new leaders and the fall of old ones.
Geopolitical Dynamics: Geopolitical tensions and conflicts, often seen as culminations of unresolved issues from previous turnings, are expected to reach a climax in 2024. This could involve issues like climate change policies, territorial disputes, or shifts in alliances, contributing to the geopolitical landscape and potentially leading to significant global realignments.
War and Conflict Resolution: The Crisis phase often involves major conflicts that can redefine nations and global alliances. Escalated conflicts, whether through direct wars, cyber warfare, economic sanctions, or proxy battles, could heavily influence global peace and security, possibly leading to a new world order and setting the stage for the next High phase.
Return to Calm in 2028: The prediction of a return to calm by 2028 suggests an end to the Crisis phase and the beginning of a new High. This period is marked by a feeling of collective recovery and the establishment of a new social, political, and economic order, built on the foundations laid during the turbulent period of the Crisis phase. This could be due to diplomatic efforts, technological advancements, or a natural resolution of economic and political cycles.
In summary, the Fourth Turning theory provides a framework for understanding the potential significant changes and upheavals expected around 2024 in various domains such as economics, politics, technology, and global relations, followed by a period of stabilization and recovery leading into 2028.
